Arcthane
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Federal contract signals

Know which government contracts actually matter for the stock.

Arcthane reads every public federal award, scores the ones likely to move the company, and tells you when to watch — not when to buy.

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Research, not advice · Cancel anytime

What you get

Stop scrolling DoD press releases.

The signal that matters is already public. The work is filtering it. We do that part.

See only what moves the stock
Most federal awards are noise. Arcthane surfaces the small share with a measurable historical link to the underlying ticker.
Catch it within hours, not weeks
Awards are scored every two hours and tagged with what to watch for. No waiting on a press cycle or an analyst note.
Get told when the edge fades
Track positions manually. We watch the historical pattern in the background and ping you when your setup weakens.
In the feed

A score. A reason. A timeframe.

Each signal tells you the ticker, the contract, where it sits on our score, and a window based on how the market has historically reacted to comparable awards. That's the whole job.

  • Score on a 0–100 scale, calibrated against years of historical awards.
  • Historical comparison — what happened to the stock last time something similar landed.
  • Plain-English classification: Buy Watch, Accumulate, Hold.
LMT
Lockheed Martin
Industrials · 2h ago
Score
86
Buy Watch
HIGH CONF

Multi-billion DoD missile contract. Comparable awards have moved the stock measurably over the following weeks.

Value
$7.8B
vs Mkt Cap
6.4%
Hist 60d
+8.4%
Built for

People who already do their own research — and want a faster funnel.

Arcthane is not a tip service. It's a filter that turns thousands of public awards into the few dozen worth a closer look. What you do with them is yours.

Coverage
Every public DoD, civilian, and defense-adjacent award.
Refresh
Scored every 2 hours. Alerts within minutes of a meaningful signal.
History
5 years of comparable awards for context on every score.
Pricing

Two plans. No free tier.

Paid from day one — no ad model, just the signal. Cancel any time.

Pulse
$9/ mo · first 3 months
$12.95 / mo after first 3 months
Start with Pulse
  • Live signals across every public award
  • Watchlists and ticker alerts
  • Email + push notifications
  • Basic contract history
  • Simple portfolio tracking
Pro
Most popular
$29/ mo · first 3 months
$39 / mo after first 3 months
Start with Pro
  • Everything in Pulse
  • Advanced signal analytics
  • Score breakdowns
  • Market regime layer
  • Historical comparison engine
  • Extended contract history
  • Portfolio analytics
FAQ

Common questions.

Is this investment advice?
No. Arcthane is a research tool. We surface and rank publicly available federal contract awards. We do not make recommendations to buy or sell securities. You make your own decisions.
How do you decide what's a strong signal?
Our scoring engine combines public contract data with proprietary signal-strength modeling. We don't publish the exact recipe — that's the moat — but every score is reproducible from sources we can show you on the signal detail page.
How fresh is the data?
We re-score the universe every 2 hours and push alerts as soon as a meaningful signal lands on a ticker you're watching.
Why no free tier?
Because we don't sell your data and don't run ads. Paid from day one keeps incentives aligned: every dollar comes from people who want the signal to be sharp.
Can I cancel anytime?
Yes — one click in your account page. No prorating tricks, no retention dark patterns.
Does Arcthane connect to my broker?
No. Portfolio tracking is manual — you log positions, we score them and alert when the historical edge fades. We never ask for brokerage credentials.

Start with the signal.

Three minutes to set up. Cancel anytime if it isn't sharpening your shortlist.

Get started